Wealth Inequality and Economic Growth: Evidence from the World Inequality Database
with Rachel Steenbrink
World Development, 2026
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Abstract
Although it is often argued that wealth inequality matters more for
economic growth than income inequality, this relationship has rarely been studied empirically,
with a few exceptions covering a very restricted country sample or short timeframe. Leveraging
hitherto unexploited wealth inequality data from the World Inequality Database, covering a panel
of 165 countries between 1995 and 2019, we document a negative and statistically significant
relationship between wealth inequality and economic growth. A one standard deviation increase in
the wealth Gini coefficient within countries is associated with a 0.34 percentage points decline
in growth rates. Instrumental variables support a causal interpretation of the results. The
results survive a large battery of robustness checks, and we find no evidence to suggest a
heterogeneous relationship.
Violent Conflict and Parochial Trust: Lab-in-the-Field and Survey Evidence
with Katharina Werner
Journal of Development Economics, 2025
developmentbehavioural
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Abstract
How does conflict exposure affect trust? We hypothesize that direct
(first-hand) experience with conflict induces parochialism: trust towards out-groups worsens,
but trust towards in-groups, owing to positive experiences of kin solidarity, may improve.
Indirect exposure to conflict through third-party accounts, on the other hand, reduces trust
toward everyone, arguably owing to negativity bias. We find consistent support for our
hypotheses in a lab-in-the-field experiment in Maluku, Indonesia, which witnessed a salient
Christian-Muslim conflict during 1999–2002, as well as in three cross-country datasets
exploiting temporal and spatial variation in exposure to violence. Our results help resolve a
seeming contradiction in the literature and inform policies on resolving conflicts.
Not All About the Money: Service Quality Information Improves Consumer Decision-Making
with Janneke Blijlevens, Swee-Hoon Chuah, Ananta Neelim, and Johanna Prasch
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2024
behavioural
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Abstract
Information asymmetries are pervasive in many industries and can result
in large losses in consumer welfare. Does providing product quality information result in
improved consumer decision-making? We study this question in a market where quality is
notoriously hard to determine ex ante: the residential energy market. Using a discrete choice
experiment (N = 1,002), we document a substantial willingness-to-pay (37–45 % of the median
bill) for four service quality attributes (transparency, agency, authenticity, and convenience).
In an incentivized search task (N = 432), we show that how quality information is presented
matters: consumers who view information in the form of ratings and stamps of approval are (i) 4
% more likely to opt in to the search task, and (ii) 20 % more likely to correctly identify
given levels of quality, relative to consumers who are provided with bar graphs, pie charts, and
text. Finally, using a decision experiment (N = 510) with real company names familiar to our
participants, we find that the provision of quality information increases choices of the
best-rated company more than 20-fold, relative to the control scenario where quality information
is absent, in which consumers select companies predominantly on price and brand awareness. Our
findings are applicable to other markets in which information asymmetries are present, where
policymakers should consider interventions that promote transparency and quality information
provision.
National Identity Predicts Public Health Support During a Global Pandemic
with Jay J. Van Bavel et al.
Nature Communications, 2022
behavioural
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Abstract
Changing collective behaviour and supporting non-pharmaceutical
interventions is an important component in mitigating virus transmission during a pandemic. In a
large international collaboration (Study 1, N = 49,968 across 67 countries), we investigated
self-reported factors associated with public health behaviours (e.g., spatial distancing and
stricter hygiene) and endorsed public policy interventions (e.g., closing bars and restaurants)
during the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic (April-May 2020). Respondents who reported
identifying more strongly with their nation consistently reported greater engagement in public
health behaviours and support for public health policies. Results were similar for
representative and non-representative national samples. Study 2 (N = 42 countries) conceptually
replicated the central finding using aggregate indices of national identity (obtained using the
World Values Survey) and a measure of actual behaviour change during the pandemic (obtained from
Google mobility reports). Higher levels of national identification prior to the pandemic
predicted lower mobility during the early stage of the pandemic (r = −0.40). We discuss the
potential implications of links between national identity, leadership, and public health for
managing COVID-19 and future pandemics.
Trust in Government in Times of Crisis: A Quasi-Experiment During the Two World Wars
with David Stadelmann and Benno Torgler
Journal of Comparative Economics, 2021
institutionsbehavioural
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Abstract
Do crises erode trust in government? To answer this question, we leverage
the quasi-experimental setting of the sharply increased military threat to the neutral country
of Switzerland during the two world wars as an exogenous shock. In doing so, we exploit a unique
feature of Swiss politics: government issuance of pre-referenda voting recommendations. We use
constituent adherence to government recommendations as a behavioral proxy for trust in
government, measured in real time prior to, during, and after the crisis. Our empirical
estimates provide strong evidence that constituents are significantly less likely to follow
governmental voting recommendations during wartime.
Child Labour and Psychosocial Well-Being: Findings from India
with Simon Feeny, Amalendu Jyotishi, Shyam Nath, Alberto Posso, and P. K.
Viswanathan
Health Economics, 2021
development
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Abstract
Mental health is a neglected health issue in developing countries. We
test if mental health issues are particularly likely to occur among some of the most vulnerable
children in developing countries: those that work. Despite falling in recent decades, child
labor still engages 168 million children across the world. While the negative impacts of child
labor on physical health are well documented, the effect of child labor on a child's
psychosocial wellbeing has been neglected. We investigate this issue with a new dataset of 947
children aged 12–18 years from 750 households in 20 villages across five districts of Tamil
Nadu, India. Our purpose-built survey allows for a holistic approach to the analysis of child
wellbeing by accounting for levels of happiness, hope, emotional wellbeing, self-efficacy, fear
and stress. We use a variety of econometric approaches, some of which utilize household-level
fixed effects and account for differences between working and nonworking siblings. We document a
robust, large and negative association between child labor and most measures of psychosocial
wellbeing. The results are robust to a battery of exercises, including tests for selection on
unobservables, randomization inference, instrumental variable techniques, and falsification
exercises.
How Often Do Dictators Have Positive Economic Effects? Global Evidence, 1858-2010
with Stephanie M. Rizio
The Leadership Quarterly, 2020 · Winner, 2020 Best Paper
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institutions
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Abstract
Supposedly well-intentioned dictators are often cited as drivers of
economic growth. We examine this claim in a panel of 133 countries from 1858 to 2010. Using
annual data on economic growth, political regimes, and political leaders, we document a robust
asymmetric pattern: growth-positive autocrats (autocrats whose countries experience
larger-than-average growth) are found only as frequently as would be predicted by chance. In
contrast, growth-negative autocrats are found significantly more frequently. Implementing
regression discontinuity designs (RDD), we also examine local trends in the neighbourhood of the
entry into power of growth-positive autocrats. We find that growth under supposedly
growth-positive autocrats does not significantly differ from previous realizations of growth,
suggesting that even the infrequent growth-positive autocrats largely "ride the wave" of
previous success. On the other hand, our estimates reject the null hypothesis that
growth-negative rulers have no effects. Taken together, our results cast serious doubt on the
benevolent autocrat hypothesis.
Moralizing Gods and Armed Conflict
Journal of Economic Psychology, 2017
institutionsbehavioural
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Abstract
This study documents a robust empirical pattern between moralizing gods,
which prescribe fixed laws of morality, and conflict prevalence and fatalities, using spatially
referenced data for Africa on contemporary conflicts and ancestral belief systems of individual
ethnic groups prior to European contact. Moralizing gods are found to significantly increase
conflict prevalence and casualties at the local level. The identification strategy draws on the
evolutionary psychology roots of moralizing gods as a solution to the collective action problem
in pre-modern societies. A one standard deviation increase in the likelihood of emergence of a
moralizing god increases casualties by 18 to 36% and conflict prevalence by 4 to 8%
approximately.
Does Democracy Drive Income in the World, 1500-2000?
with Jakob B. Madsen and Paul A. Raschky
European Economic Review, 2015
institutionsdevelopment
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Abstract
Using data for political regimes, income and human capital for a sample
of 141 countries over the periods 1820–2000 and 1500–2000, this research examines the income and
growth effects of democracy when human capital, among other key variables, is controlled for.
Linguistic distance-weighted foreign democracy is used as an instrument for domestic democracy.
Democracy is found to be a significant determinant of income and growth and the result is robust
to various estimation methods and covariates. We find that a one-standard deviation increase in
democracy is associated with a 44–98% increase in per capita income.